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Crabbs | Deciphering the truth among the 2017 NFL Draft headlines

John Lynch
(Zach Bolinger/Icon Sportswire)

With the start of the 2017 NFL Draft just six days away, the flow of information and headlines has reached a fever pitch. Many of the headlines included are fodder simply meant to provide static and hide the true intent of decision makers. But the track record shows that some leaks in the building can actually be traced to truth.

Is there truth to some of these rumors? Of course, there is, it’s just a question of trying to connect the dots. Here, we will look into many of the recent headlines and attempt to determine which ones are legitimate and which ones are red herrings.

NFC GM to Walter Football’s Charlie Campbell: 49ers are ‘desperate’ to trade down

Campbell seems to be able to lock in one or two occurrences each season. Will the 49ers trade down? I personally find it to be unlikely, but I do think the 49ers are a strong candidate to select Mitchell Trubisky at No. 2 overall.

The connection between coach Kyle Shanahan and Kirk Cousins has been well documented for months, and I’m sure that the 49ers would have loved to have secured Cousins’ services this offseason. But you cannot mortgage the future for something that might happen next year.

Trubisky’s style of play lends itself well to how Shanahan likes to run a passing game, and there’s no guarantee that San Francisco will be in a position to snag a quarterback next season. I think the 49ers will take Trubisky at No. 2.

NFL.com’s Lance Zierlein: Cook and Mixon go Round 2

I think this one is true. I would not be surprised to hear either name called in the 20s, but Cook and Mixon have both had a lot of red flags all throughout the draft process. Just two years ago we were discussing what it would take to get running backs drafted in the first round again. The position has enjoyed a resurgence of late, but the depth of the class looms large.

The general consensus is that Leonard Fournette and Christian McCaffrey will go in the top 15. I believe Zierlein here. I don’t think you hear another RB called in the first round. And if we do, it may not be Cook or Mixon.

NFL.com’s Daniel Jeremiah: 3 of 5 executives think Deshaun Watson will be the first QB drafted

This take goes hand in hand with the earlier San Francisco-Mitch Trubisky selection. Maybe the 49ers manage to secure a trade back and still take Trubisky after Watson goes off the board (rumblings around Chicago are that the Bears could be a landing spot for him). But I think Watson is going to get overthought and slide down outside of the top 10. I would be pleasantly surprised if that is not the result.

TAMPA, FL - JANUARY 09: Clemson Tigers quarterback Deshaun Watson (4) delivers a pass during the 2017 College Football National Championship Game between the Clemson Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide on January 9, 2017, at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. Clemson defeated Alabama 35-31. (Photo by Mark LoMoglio/Icon Sportswire)

(Photo by Mark LoMoglio/Icon Sportswire)

ESPN.com’s Todd McShay thinks Tennessee’s Joshua Dobbs can ascend to late Round 1 or Day 2

I’ll pass here too. This has the feel of a media-focused leverage play. There’s little on Dobbs’ film that would suggest he’s a potential franchise quarterback, which is what teams are expecting from a late Round 1 or early Day 2 selection at the position.

Dobbs should not warrant consideration until the later portions of the draft. He has the mind to play the game, but there is a vast disconnect between his mental acumen and his grasp and application on the field in live action.

Washington’s Kevin King is a Round 1 selection

There’s too much smoke here to pass on. Interested suitors include the Dallas Cowboys, Seattle Seahawks and the Philadelphia Eagles. King’s film has impressive flashes, his measurables are off the charts, and he fits the profile that teams are gravitating towards as a long boundary defender.

I think an investment that high is ill-advised, as King has a lot of needed polish in his press-man technique, and he also needs to clean up his step transitions at the top of route stems. But the selections of Artie Burns and Eli Apple the past few years are a great indicator that teams will gloss over technique issues for a chance to have a player with uncoachable physical traits.

There will be two trades in the top 10

This is a take from yours truly. Whether it’s Cleveland bumping back into the top 10 to get ahead of Buffalo for a quarterback, or someone getting anxious for a new feature back, I think the collective talent pool after Garrett is close enough that teams in the top 12-15 are going to feel comfortable exchanging draft capital for “their guy.”

Who is each team’s “guy?” Check back in on Monday;,I’ll have it queued up for you then with my final mock draft of the 2017 NFL Draft season.

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