One of the most important takeaways I always after week one is to not over-react to what we saw. It’s often easy to chase points in week two, but this is typically the week things settle down and we go back to some of our pre-draft daily fantasy beliefs. This week, there are some really strong options at receiver, so my overall strategy this week is to save money at quarterback and tight end to budget more at receiver. Having said that, here’s the highest projected scoring games of the weekend. Be prepared to target multiple players from these games:
New Orleans at NYG – 52.5
Tampa Bay at Arizona – 50
Atlanta at Oakland – 49.5
Derek Carr – $7,200
- If the Atlanta Falcons don’t have the worst pass-rush in the NFL, they are certainly in the running. With the Raiders returning home off their impressive win, expect Carr and the offense to be in another epic shoot-out this week. The Raiders-Falcons game has the third highest expected total of the week and you can bet that Oakland will come out throwing again in week two. Carr finished with 25.4 DK points, but he only threw one touchdown as the Raiders’ backs punched in three touchdowns versus the Saints. It’s far more likely that Carr throws three than one this week and he will be in a majority of my lineups this week.
Marcus Mariota – $6,000
- If you are going cheap at quarterback this week, Mariota is a good play with a plus-match-up. Mariota scored nearly 19 points in one of his toughest match-ups of the year when he faced the Vikings last week. With Detroit’s secondary a mess, Mariota has a good chance to throw for over 250 yards and add in another 20 or 30 on the ground. In a dome against a bad a defense with a cheap price tag is as good of a reason as you will need to put Mariota in your lineups.
Ezekiel Elliott – $7,300
- Elliott is the third highest priced running back this week, but I’m willing to pay a premium for him. The Cowboys’ offensive line got whipped versus the Giants, but Elliott was still able to manage a respectable 12.2 DK points. But what’s more encouraging is that Elliott touched the ball 21 times in his first NFL game. With the Redskins playing on Monday night and proving to the rest of the league they can’t stop the run, Elliott will have a chance to be the highest scoring running back in week two.
Danny Woodhead – $5,200
- Melvin Gordon scored the two touchdowns in week one, but Woodhead actually out-snapped him despite the Chargers having the lead for most of the game. But even though Gordon scored the two touchdowns, Woodhead still scored 23 points on Sunday. Jacksonville has a good run defense and a respectable pass-rush, so expect Woodhead to see a lot of targets in the receiving game.
WROdell Beckham Jr. – $9, 500
- If you are going to pay a premium price for a player who will likely be highly owned, you better be confident that said player will produce. And I’m confident that Odell Beckham will be worth his price tag when he faces the Saints dreadful secondary on Sunday. Another game that should be a shoot-out, New Orleans doesn’t have anyone on their defense who is even close to Beckham in skill level. Last week, Oakland’s passing game dominated the Saints and Beckham should be able to do even more at home on Sunday. I fully expect OBJ to have 100+ receiving yards and at least one touchdown. If you want to win money this week, you need to find a way to get Beckham in your lineup.
Jesse James – $3,400
- The theme of this week is to go cheap at quarterback and tight end so that you can afford to grab one stud each at running back and receiver. James disappointed last week, but in the last two Steelers – Bengals match-ups, Heath Miller got at least ten passes in each contest. The Bengals typically do pretty well on Antonio Brown, so look for James to see a ton of targets versus the Bengals, who will be without Vontzae Burfict.
Dennis Pitta – $2,800
- Pitta is finally back on the field and actually looks healthy. With a game under his belt and now the full-time starter at tight end, I love Pitta this week and his match-up versus the Browns. Pitta saw four targets last week as they eased him into the offense and I fully expect that number to grow each week. This is probably the last week you will be able to grab him under $3,000.