At this point in the NFL season, you are probably starting to get a feel for your fantasy team. You have gotten to see if your sleeper picks are going to pan out or if any of your early round picks are going to be busts.
And just as you start to get comfortable, the NFL schedule throws a wrench into play with the first set of bye weeks coming in week four. Now, your guys that you lean on heavily to produce could be sitting out this week. Not only does this make the decision of who to replace your stud player with important, it also makes your other decisions important because you have less room for error.
So to help you make these important fantasy football lineup decisions this week, let’s take a look inside the numbers.
Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati BengalsMiami’s struggles to run the ball, with an 83 yards per game average, combined with the Bengals allowing the fifth-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks makes Ryan Tannehill a decent fantasy option this week.
Andy Dalton has just two passing touchdowns on the season. Despite the Browns’ giving the Dolphins a scare last week, the Bengals’ quarterback could struggle to find the end zone with any frequency again this weekend. Miami has allowed just four passing touchdowns through three games of the 2016 season.
Cincinnati is allowing just 3.6 yards per rush this season so the fantasy appeal for Miami ball carriers is pretty suppressed this week, especially considering they will be implementing a running back by committee approach again this Thursday. Jay Ajayi has a 29.3 share of the Dolphins’ carries but that isn’t enough to warrant a start this week.
After running all over the Broncos’ defense in Week 3, Jeremy Hill should be in for another big week on Thursday. The Dolphins are allowing 4.5 yards per carry this season.
Gio Bernard earns his fantasy worth via the passing game as he is averaging just five carries per game this year. So with that in mind, the Bengals’ running back should likely be looked over this week when setting your fantasy lineups. Only seven teams have allowed fewer receiving yards to running backs this season as Miami has given up just 68 such yards.
Cincinnati is allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season so now is not the time to shy away from Jarvis Landry. The Dolphins’ pass catcher is just one of four wide receivers in the NFL to receive double-digit targets in each of the three games played this season. He also is tied with the league lead in catches and is third in yards.
While Landry will be getting all the attention, don’t sleep on DeVante Parker this week. The second-year wide receiver. He has seen passes thrown his way on 24 percent of the routes he runs and the Bengals have gotten torched by No. 2 wide receivers so far in 2016. They are allowing 83.7 yards per game to opposing team’s’ second option.
There is a lot to like about the Bengals’ A.J. Green this week. The pass catcher has caught at least eight passes in two of his three games this season. He should do plenty more of that this week. The Dolphins are allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season. And in particular are being beaten by teams’ No. 1 wide receivers. On the year, they are allowing 104 yards per game to No. 1 wide receivers.
Cincinnati has allowed just 95 yards to tight ends but has seen the position score three times already this season. With Dion Sims set to sub in for an injured Jordan Cameron he would be nothing more than a deep sleeper even with the Bengals’ struggles cover the tight end in the end zone this season.
C.J. Uzomah has just seven catches this season but he could have a breakout game this week. The Dolphins are allowing 73.3 yards per game to the position.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
In the past two weeks, the Colts’ Andrew Luck has more turnovers than touchdowns scored. The Jaguars have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks so far this season, so the Indianapolis signal caller should get back on track this week especially with the Jaguars’ defense creating just four turnovers in three games this season.
Blake Bortles averaged 274 yards and two touchdowns per game in two contests against the Colts in 2015.
Although he is lacking in the rushing yards department this season, with just 185 through three games, Frank Gore is still getting plenty of touches. In fact, only nine running backs have accounted for a higher percentage of backfield touches than the Colts’ veteran ball carrier in 2016.
It is tough to make a case for the Jaguars’ backfield in this one. T.J. Yeldon and Chris Ivory have combined for just 98 yards on the ground in 2016. But Indianapolis has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to running backs this season.
Last week without Donte Moncrief in the huddle due to injury, T.Y. Hilton went off. He finished with eight catches, 174 yards and a touchdown. With the Jaguars allowing the 10th-most fantasy points to the position this season, Hilton is a must start this week with Moncrief out again in Week 4.
Phillip Dorsett only caught three passes last week.
Indianapolis has not allowed a touchdown to the wide receiver position yet this season and are allowing the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to the position. Indianapolis is allowing 97 yards per game to No. 1 wide receivers this season but held Allen Robinson in check for the most part last season. In two games against the Colts, the wide receiver combined for just five catches and 84 yards.
In those same two contests, Allen Hurns went berserk. He finished with 14 receptions, 221 yards and two touchdowns.
If there was a game for Julian Thomas to be productive, this would be the one. The Colts have allowed 15 completions for 186 and one touchdown to the tight end position on 15 attempts this year. And in his last three games against Indianapolis, Thomas has five touchdowns including a five catch, 54-yard and one touchdown performance last season.
Tight end Jack Doyle, not Dwayne Allen, is the preferred Colts’ tight end this week. Doyle has outscored his teammate each week this season. However, neither have a great matchup this Sunday as Jacksonville has allowed just 86 yards to the tight end in 2016.
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
The Titans’ Marcus Mariota has really struggled this season. He has averaged just 241 passing yards per game. The quarterback also has six turnovers and just four touchdowns. This week won’t be any easier for the second year signal caller. Houston is allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks in 2016.
Staying on the topic of struggling quarterbacks, Brock Osweiler has provided little early return on investment for the Texans. Through three games his 231.6/1/1.3 slash line has to have fantasy owners concerned. The Titans’ defense has allowed just two passing touchdowns this season so if you have Osweiler on your roster you got more to be worried about.
DeMarco Murray has played 75 percent of the Titans’ offensive snaps in two of the three weeks of NFL action. In addition to the heavy workload, he has a nice matchup this week. The Texans have allowed 4.85 yards per rush this season. And have been especially vulnerable on the outside. They have allowed 131 yards on 14 carries off the end. This is all good news for Murray. On Sunday Murray had 100 yards on 10 rushes outside the tackles.
The good news for those that invested in Lamar Miller is he is getting plenty of touches. Through the first three games of the season, he has 74 rush attempts. The bad news is he is averaging just 3.6 yards per carry and has yet to cross the goal line. With his heavy volume share you have to keep plugging him in there but don’t count on a huge performance this Sunday. The Titans are allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points to the running back position this week.
Houston is allowing the fourth-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers this season, so look for Tajae Sharpe to struggle for the second week in a row.
When facing the Texans last season Rishard Matthews finished with 75 yards and a touchdown.
In his last four games against the Titans, DeAndre Hopkins has gone off. He averaged 136 yards per game against them and had a total of four touchdowns. Tennessee is allowing 94.3 yards per game to No. 1 wide receivers this season so look for DeAndre Hopkins to have another big game against the Titans this week.
The Texans’ Will Fuller leads the NFL with 16 targets of 15-plus yards. Tennessee has allowed 11 pass plays of 20-plus yards this season.
Delanie Walker is in for a tough go this week. The Texans’ have allowed just 10 catches for 58 yards to tight ends this season. In two games against Houston last season, he never topped 62 yards and was shut out of the end zone.
Cleveland Browns vs. Washington RedskinsCody Kessler threw for 244 yards in his first NFL start last week, but still, nothing to see here especially with Terrelle Pryor stealing snaps out of the Wildcat down around the goal line.
The Browns’ backfield is still splitting playing time, with Crowell getting 53 percent and Duke Johnson receiving 48 percent, but Crowell is the back to own. He is scoring the touchdowns. Which he should do again this weekend with the Redskins already allowing six rushing scores to running backs.
Matt Jones saw a season-high 17 rush attempts in Week 3. Unfortunately for him, he averaged just 3.8 yards per rush. Look for more of the same this Sunday, as the Browns are allowing just 3.9 yards per attempt.
This past Sunday Terrelle Pryor was a Swiss Army knife for the Browns’ offense. He finished with 144 receiving yards, 21 rushing yards and 35 passing yards as well as one touchdown. While this type of involvement won’t last long with Josh Gordon’s return imminent, he still is a great play this week against the Redskins. Washington has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to wide receivers so far this season.
Fire up the Browns’ slot receiver this week. In Washington’s last five games, they have allowed 27 receptions for 364 yards and five touchdowns to the slot.
If DeSean Jackson is able to play this weekend, he needs to draw serious fantasy consideration. The home run hitter is in a position to put up big numbers on Sunday. Cleveland is allowing the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season. This is due to allowing 91.7 yards per game to opposing No. 1 wide receivers in 2016.
If Jackson can’t play then consider Jamison Crowder. The wideout has received at least seven targets in each game this season and has pulled down a touchdown in each of his last two contests.
Gary Barnidge had his best game of the 2016 season last Sunday when he finished with five catches for 66 yards. However, the tight end will struggle to top that this weekend. Washington has allowed just 136 yards to tight ends this season on 16 catches.
Despite his lack of production so far no need to worry about tight end Jordan Reed yet. He is playing 82.8 percent of Washington’s offensive snaps while averaging eight targets per game. Last season, he saw 8.1 targets per contest while playing 74.9 percent of the plays. You should start to see the turnaround this week. The Browns have struggled covering tight ends this season. They have allowed 22 passes completions to the position, which is second-most in the NFL. They also have allowed 244 yards to tight ends, good for sixth-most.
Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets
Given he might not play this weekend, you will want to make other plans if you have Russell Wilson as your quarterback. The truth is probably already were thinking about it even if he was healthy. The signal caller has just two touchdowns on the season.
A week after he threw six interceptions, Ryan Fitzpatrick now faces a Seattle defense that has yet to allow a passing touchdowns. The Jets’ quarterback is an easy fade this week.
Last week, Christine Michael got an opportunity to be the bell-cow back for the Seahawks and he took advantage of the opportunity. He finished with 106 yards and two scores on 20 rushes. He now is averaging 5.2 yards per carry on the season. The running back will be in for his toughest challenge yet this season against the Jets. New York is allowing just 3.7 yards per attempt and the fourth-fewest fantasy points to the running back position.
Through three games, the Jets’ Matt Forte has rushed the ball 67 times.
The New York Jets have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to wideouts this season so Doug Baldwin has to be in play here. He has scored a touchdown in two of the three games this season.
Seattle has allowed the fewest fantasy points to wide receivers this season. So there is a great chance that Brandon Marshall will be kept out of the end zone for the fourth straight week.
Last week, Eric Decker had his streak of 18 straight games with a touchdown or 80 yards snapped. This looks to be a tough week for him to start a new streak.
Quincy Enunwa continues to be a big part of the Jets’ game plan. In Week 3 he led the team in targets with 14.
Last Sunday, Jimmy Graham enjoyed his best game of the season. The tight end snagged six passes for 100 yards and a touchdown. The Jets have allowed 17 receptions for 199 yardss to the tight end through three weeks.
Seattle has allowed just 11 catches to tight ends this season so no need to consider a Jets’ tight end this Sunday.
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
In two games against the Patriots last season, Tyrod Taylor finished with more turnovers(six) than touchdowns (four). With the Patriots allowing just four scores to quarterbacks while intercepting them three times so far in 2016, the Bills’ quarterback could be in for another long day.
Buffalo’s pass defense has been strong in 2016 while their rush prevention has struggled. With Buffalo allowing just two passing touchdowns on the season, look for Jimmy Garoppolo to do a lot of handing off on Sunday.
You will want to target the Bills’ McCoy this week. The ball carrier has scored three touchdowns already this season and is primed for more on Sunday. Last season in two games against the Patriots, McCoy rushed for 171 yards. He also chipped in with 68 receiving yards and a touchdown.
Just like we all expected, LeGarrette Blount leads the NFL in rushing with 298 yards. He also has scored four times. The Bills’ have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to running backs this season so look for Blount to stay lit this weekend.
After watching New England shut down the talented Houston Texans’ receivers, it is tough to get behind a Bills’ pass catcher especially without Sammy Watkins. If you must Robert Woods would be your guy. He did score a touchdown in two games against the Pats in 2015 and New England is allowing 91 yards per game to No. 1 wide receivers.
Julian Edelman has been targeted 27 times in the passing game this season. In his only game against the Bills last season, the wide receiver did catch two touchdowns.
The last time these two teams squared off Danny Amendola finished with 117 yards.
New England has allowed 18 receptions to tight ends this season. Unfortunately, Charles Clay is just not an option in the Bills’ passing game. He has just seven catches on the season.
The Bills have been good against the tight end so far this season. Allowing the second-fewest fantasy points to the position. And the last time they faced Rob Gronkowski he was held to just two catches for 37 yards.
Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons
After a very disappointing performance in Week 3, the Panthers’ Cam Newton has to be excited to face the Atlanta Falcons. Atlanta has allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks up to this point.
Despite the fact that Matt Ryan has scored the second-most fantasy points this season, fantasy players can’t be excited for his prospects this weekend. The Panthers caused fits for Ryan last season. In two games, he combined for just 530 passing yards and one touchdown. He committed four turnovers in those contests. Look for more of the same this week. The Panthers are allowing an average of just 197 passing yards per game this season.
After sitting out the first two weeks of the 2016 season, Cameron Artis-Payne filled in last Sunday for the injured Jonathan Stewart. The running back finished Week 3 with 47 rushing yards on 12 carries. He has an excellent matchup this week. The Falcons are allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to running backs. But beware of Cam Newton vulturing goal line touchdowns.
Devonta Freeman had 207 yards in Monday night’s showdown with the Saints. But don’t expect that kind of production again this Sunday. In 2015, the running back averaged just 3.32 yards per carry against the Panthers.
Tevin Coleman has rushed for four touchdowns in the last two weeks. But don’t expect that pace to continue this weekend. Carolina has allowed just two rushing touchdowns this season.
After leading the league in fantasy points at the wide receiver position after two weeks, Kelvin Benjamin failed to catch a pass last week. While he likely will catch a pass or two this week, don’t expect a huge yardage total. The Falcons are allowing just 65.7 yards per game to No. 1 wide receivers this season.
Ted Ginn is known for the big play and wideout could grab a few again this week. Atlanta has allowed 14 pass plays for 20-plus yards already this season, third most in the NFL.
After seeing 14 double-digit target games in 2015, Julio Jones has yet to have 10 passes thrown his way this season. Carolina has limited opposing No. 1 wide receivers to just 52.7 yards per game this season so it could be another rough week for Jones’ owners.
Sanu has just six total catches the past two weeks and now faces a Panthers’ defense that has allowed the fewest (27) completions to wide receivers this season.
Atlanta has gotten thrashed by the tight end position this season so be sure to have Greg Olsen in your lineups. Atlanta has allowed the second-most receptions, second-most yards and second-most touchdowns to the position.
The Falcons’ Jacob Tamme was a hot pick last week but could serve as a sneaky one this Sunday. Carolina has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to the position in 2016.
Oakland Raiders vs. Baltimore Ravens
Derek Carr will have his hands full this week. The Ravens’ defense has allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to the quarterback position this season. If you are looking for a positive, the Raiders’ quarterback did throw for 351 yards and three touchdowns when these two teams squared off last season.
The Ravens’ Joe Flacco hasn’t had a great fantasy season so far but he could be in for a nice performance in Week 4. Not only have the Raiders allowed the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season but he also did very well against them in the past. In 2015, Flacco threw for 384 yards and two touchdowns against Oakland.
It is time to get worried about the Raiders’ Latavius Murray. The running back his losing his market share. Over the last two weeks, he only played 45.5 percent of Oakland’s offensive snaps and this past Saturday he was on the field for just 42.3 percent of those plays. And this week won’t be any easier for him. The Ravens are allowing just 3.9 yards per carry in 2016.
Terrance West continues to outproduce the rest of the Ravens’ backfield. If he can grab a hold of the lion’s share of carries this week, he should be a solid play. The Raiders are allowing five yards per carry to running backs this season.
If you are starting a Raiders’ wide receiverm, you are going to need a touchdown. The Ravens’ have allowed just 368 yards to wide receivers so far this season.
Speaking of touchdowns, Amari Cooper has yet to find pay dirt this season.
The Raiders other pass catcher, Michael Crabtree, doesn’t appear to be a great play this week either. The Ravens are allowing just 30.7 yards per game to No. 2 wide receivers.
Mike Wallace has over 50 percent of the Ravens’ red zone targets this season and an excellent Week 4 option. The Raiders are allowing the most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season and 104.7 yards per game to No. 1 wide receivers.
Baltimore’s Steve Smith is coming off his best game of the season in which he caught eight passes for 87 yards. The wideout should put up similar numbers this week. Oakland is allowing 74.3 yards per game to No. 2 wide receivers.
Oakland has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season so be sure to get Dennis Pitta into your lineups. The Ravens’ tight end leads the team in targets and receptions.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears
After watching the Bears allow over 10 passing yards an attempt to the Cowboys’ Dak Prescott, the Lions’ Matthew Stafford has to be excited for this contest, especially considering he has averaged 334 yards and 2.25 touchdowns in the last four games against Chicago.
Brian Hoyer threw for 317 yards and two touchdowns last week. He could be a sneaky fill-in for your fantasy lineups this week. Detroit has allowed 10 passing touchdowns and the second-most fantasy points per game this season. In addition, the game script should force the Bears to throw early and often in this one.
In their first week without Ameer Abdullah, the Lions’ backfield saw the following split. Theo Riddick played 66 percent of plays while Dwayne Washington was on the field for 37 percent of the offensive snaps. The Bears’ have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to the position so both are viable options in Week 4.
Chicago’s Jordan Howard is an intriguing option for Week 4. Filling in for injured Jeremy Langford, the rookie ball carrier finished with 92 offensive yards. With Detroit allowing 5.3 yards per rush this season, the first-year back could be a strong fantasy option.
Marvin Jones has had a very impressive run the past two weeks. On the season he has seen 29 targets and has turned the opportunity into 52.8 fantasy points. The Bears probably won’t be able to stop him but could slow him down. They have held opposing No. 1 wide receivers to just 55 yards per game.
Golden Tate is the forgotten man in Detroit. He has just 13 catches through three games and has been shutout of the end zone. Look for his 2016 struggles to continue this week. The Bears limited him to a total of 74 yards in two games last season.
Despite his slow start this season, Alshon Jeffery is a solid play in Week 4 if he is able to get into the game. In his last five games against the Lions, he has scored five touchdowns.
Eddie Royal had five catches for 49 yards in his lone game against the Lions in 2015.
Chicago has allowed just 13 catches to the tight end position this season. So don’t expect a huge game from the Lions’ Ebron in Week 4.
After catching two touchdowns last week, the Bears’ Zach Miller could be in for another big fantasy day on Sunday. The Lions have allowed five touchdowns to tight ends already this season as well as the most fantasy points to the position.
Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Trevor Siemian threw for four touchdowns last week and gets another nice matchup this week against a classic funnel defense. The Buccaneers are giving up just 3.3 rushing yards per attempt but have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
Jameis Winston has been turnover prone in the early goings of 2016. He already has committed eight turnovers. Look for him to give the ball away a few more times on Sunday. Denver has three interceptions on the season.
Although Tampa is allowing just 3.3 yards per rush, C.J. Anderson is still a strong play this week. The Buccaneers have given up three rushing touchdowns to running backs but also 235 receiving yards.
Filling in for Doug Martin last week, Charles Sims had 124 total offensive yards as well as a touchdown. He should be plenty busy again this week. The Broncos’ have allowed 4.2 yards per rush this season as well as 15 receptions in the passing attack.
The Broncos’ passing game is starting to warm up. Demaryius Thomas has 190 receiving yards over the last two weeks.
Emmanuel Sanders double his season’s production last week with a nine catch, 117-yard and two touchdown showing.
Despite the matchup, it is going to tough to fade the Bucs’ Mike Evans this week. He is second in the NFL in targets (37), second in end zone targets (5) and has scored a touchdown in each game this season.
Adam Humphries had nine catches for 100 yards in Week 3. Look for a big drop off this week, though. Denver is allowing just 19.3 yards per game to No. 2 wide receivers.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Rams’ Case Keenum has thrown for less than 200 yards twice already this season. The struggle should continue this week. The Cardinals have allowed just two passing touchdowns while intercepting five passes this season.
Arizona’s Carson Palmer will look to bounce back this week after throwing four interceptions this week. He has a decent chance to do so. The Rams’ pass defense has been a middle of the pack team in 2016. Also, Palmer found success against them last season. He averaged 354 passing yards in two games against them in 2015.
The Cardinals’ defense is allowing 4.4 yards per rush attempt so look for the Rams to feed Todd Gurley this week.
As always, David Johnson is a must start. With the Rams surrendering 123.6 offensive yards per game to running backs in 2016 there is no reason to believe that the Arizona ball carrier can’t continue his impressive start to the season.
Tavon Austin had his first double-digit fantasy performance in Week 3. Look for that to be the exception not the rule this week. Arizona has been tough on opposing No. 1 wide receivers. They are allowing just 62.3 yards per game to them.
The Cardinals’ Larry Fitzgerald is tied with the Broncos’ Emmanuel Sanders with six targets inside the 10-yard line. And should bounce back this week after a disappointing showing last Sunday. The Rams’ Lamarcus Joyner has allowed the 49ers’ Kerley to go for 7 catches 61 yards and the Buccaneers’ Humphries to go for 100 yards.
Against the Rams last season, Michael Floyd had 12 receptions and 163 yards in two contests.
John Brown saw 11 targets in Week 3.
New Orleans Saints vs. San Diego Chargers
Despite playing the game on the road, where he is not as good, Drew Brees is a must-start again this Sunday. The Chargers are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks this season.
The New Orleans’ defense has surrendered only three passing touchdowns this season but don’t be afraid to use San Diego’s Philip Rivers. The Saints are allowing 309 passing yards per game.
Mark Ingram had his best performance of the 2016 season last week with 107 yards and a touchdown. Look for more of the same this week. The Chargers are allowing 4.1 yards per rush this season.
The Saints’ Travaris Cadet could be heavily involved this week too. After catching six balls in Week 3, there should be plenty of opportunity to snag a few more receptions this Sunday. San Diego has allowed the second-most receptions and receiving yards to running backs this season.
The Saints’ Brandin Cooks has just nine catches for 81 yards in the last two weeks of play. The receiver should bounce back this week. The Chargers are allowing 97 yards per game to No. 1 wide receivers.
Willie Snead has a touchdown in each of the two games he has played this season.
New Orleans has allowed 91.7 yards per game to No. 1 wide receivers this season so, Travis Benjamin could be a solid option again in Week 4.
But Tyrell Williams may be the guy you want. Not only has he out-targeted Travis Benjamin in the last two weeks, the Saints are pretty bad against No. 2 wide receivers as well. They have allowed 81.7 yards to the position.
San Diego is allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season so run Colby Fleener out again this week.
The Saints are allowing the sixth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends this season so this may not be the week to start a San Diego tight end.
Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ersThe Cowboys’ Dak Prescott has thrown just one touchdown this season. The 49ers have allowed six passing touchdowns on the season.
Dallas has allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks if you are absolutely desperate at the position. But with Blaine Gabbert averaging just 177.3 yards per game tough to imagine you are that desperate.
Ezekiel Elliott has 76 touches through three weeks and is just seven touches off the pace on what DeMarco Murray had through three games in 2014. So the rookie continues to be a must-start this week, especially with the 49ers allowing 4.2 rushing yards per attempt this season.
The 49ers’ Hyde is a sneaky play this week. The Cowboys are allowing 4.8 yards per carry while Hyde has the second most rush attempts inside the 10-yard line this season.
Dallas’ Cole Beasley could be a real strong play this week. He already leads the team in targets, receptions and yards this season, but with Dez Bryant out, he should have an even bigger role in the passing game.
The 49ers’ leading receiver is Jeremy Kerley. He has 12 catches on the year is not fantasy relevant this week.
Jason Witten has been pretty quiet in 2016. Look for that to change this week. The 49ers have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season.
Dallas has allowed 23 catches for 246 yards and three touchdowns to tight ends this season so Vance McDonald is a sneaky play this week. The tight end already has two scores on the year.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Alex Smith threw for 251 yards and a touchdown when these two teams played one another in 2015.
The Steelers’ Ben Roethlisberger has seen his production decline in each of the last two weeks. Things aren’t looking much better this week for the quarterback. The Chiefs are allowing the fourth-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks this season.
Pittsburgh has allowed 491 offensive yards to running backs in three weeks of action so fire up Spencer Ware again this week.
The day that all Le’Veon Bell owners have been waiting for has finally arrived. The running back will be back on the field this Sunday, and there should be no hesitation to firing him up this week. When he returned from suspension last time, the Steelers through him right to the wolves. He finished with 26 touches.
Jeremy Maclin’s slow start to the season should continue this week. Pittsburgh is allowing just 75 yards to opposing No. 1 wide receivers this season.
Not that you need any reason to start Antonio Brown, but after being targeted 190 times in 2015, he is on pace to see 203 passes thrown his way this season.
Besides Brown, though, you won’t want to give much attention to any other Steelers’ wide receiver this week. Kansas City has allowed just one touchdown to the position this season.
Pittsburgh has allowed 19 catches for 208 yards to tight ends this season so Travis Kelce should get a bump in value this weekend.
Kansas City is allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to tight ends so look elsewhere than Jesse James for your tight end slot this week.
New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings
Eli Manning has averaged 308 passing yards per game this season. Expect that number to drop this week against the Vikings. Minnesota is allowing just 250 passing yards per game in 2016.
The Giants are allowing the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks this season so Sam Bradford shouldn’t be on your radar this week.
Orleans Darkwa may see the bulk of the touches this week for the Giants. In limited duty last week he performed very well. He finished with 53 yards per carry average as well as a trip to paydirt. But don’t be fooled this week. Minnesota has yet to allow a rushing touchdown this season and just a 3.1 rushing yard per attempt average.
If you have to play a Giants’ ball carrier, Bobby Rainey should be the guy. The pass catching back faces a Vikings’ defense that has allowed 16 receptions for 151 yards and two touchdowns to running backs this season.
The New York Giants have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to running backs this season so temper your expectations for Jerick McKinnon in Week 4.
Odell Beckham has yet to catch a touchdown pass and his odds aren’t great this week. The Vikings shut out Kelvin Benjamin last week and has allowed just one touchdown to the position this year.
The Giants’ Victor Cruz has not caught more than four passes in a game this season. Avoid him in fantasy this week against a very good Vikings’ pass defense.
Sterling Shepard has at least 70 yards and/or touchdown in each game this season.
Look for Stefon Diggs to be busy on Monday night, 42.8 percent of the passes against the Giants this have gone to the slot position, and the Vikings’ pass catcher has lined up in the slot 41.7 percent of the time in 2016.
Kyle Rudolph enters Monday night having caught a touchdown in each of his last two contests. The Giants have yet to allow a score to the position so something will have to give in Week 4.